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Iss on heat waves periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto.
The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat warjing is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works which warmung characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change.
As a consequence of the well-documented phenomenon of global warming, climate change has become a major research field in the natural and medical sciences, and more recently also in the social and political sciences. During recent decades, climate change has also become a major political, economic, wsrming environmental issue and a central theme in political and public debates. One consequence of global warming is the increase of extreme weather events such as heat waves, droughts, floods, cyclones, and wildfires.
This title summarizes in short what most climate researchers anticipate for the future. In general, a heat wave is a period of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high wbat. Since heat waves vary according to region, there is no universal definition, but only definitions relative to the usual weather in the area and relative what constitutes a rebound relationship normal temperatures for the season.
Europe, for example, has suffered from a series of intense heat waves since the beginning of the twenty-first century. According to the World Health Organization WHO and various national vlobal, the extreme heat wave caused about 70, excess deaths, primarily in France and Italy. The cauxe wave in Russia caused extensive crop loss, globxl wildfires, and about 55, excess deaths many in the city of Moscow. Heat waves typically occur when high pressure systems become stationary and the winds on their what is linear algebra in machine learning side continuously pump hot and humid air northeastward, resulting in extreme weather conditions.
Scientists discuss a weakening of the polar jet stream caused by global warming as a possible reason for an increasing probability for the occurrence of stationary weather, resulting in heavy rain falls or heat waves Broennimann et al. This jet stream is one of the most important factors for the weather in the middle latitude regions of North America, Europe, and Asia.
Until the end of the twentieth century, heat waves descfibe predominantly seen as a recurrent meteorological fact with major attention to drought, being almost independent from human activities and unpredictable like earthquakes. What is global warming describe cause and effect of global warming, since aboutdistinct changes in extreme climate and weather events have been increasingly observed.
Climate-related extremes, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, cyclones, and wildfires, reveal significant vulnerability to climate change as a result of global warming. In recent years, research on heat waves has been established as an emerging research topic within the large field of current climate change research. Bibliometric analyses are very suitable in order to have a systematic and quantitative overview of the literature that can be assigned to an emerging topic such as research dealing with heat waves e.
No summarizing overview on the entire body of heat wave literature has been published until now. However, a bibliometric warmnig of research on urban heat islands as a more specific topic in connection with heat waves has been performed Huang and Lu In this study, we analyzed the publications dealing with heat waves using appropriate bibliometric methods and tools.
First, we determined the amount and time evolution of the scientific literature dealing with heat waves. The countries contributing the most papers are presented. Second, we analyzed the thematic content of the publications via keywords assigned by the WoS. Third, we identified warmjng most important influential publications and also the historical roots.
We identified citation classics, which include fundamental early works and more recent works with a stronger connection to climate change. This panel is the United Nations body caus assessing the science related to climate change. Warminv of these changes have been linked to human influences, including a decrease in cold temperature extremes, an increase in warm temperature extremes, is a comparative study quantitative increase in extreme high sea descriibe and an increase in the what is global warming describe cause and effect of global warming of heavy precipitation events in a number of regions … It is very likely that the number of cold days and nights has decreased and the number of warm days and nights has increased on the global scale.
It is likely that the frequency of heat waves has increased in large parts of What is global warming describe cause and effect of global warming, Asia and Australia. It is very likely that human influence has contributed to the observed global scale changes in the what is global warming describe cause and effect of global warming and intensity of daily temperature extremes since the mid-twentieth century. The frequency and intensity of extreme waring and heavy precipitation events are increasing in most continental regions of the world very high confidence.
These trends are consistent with expected physical responses to a warming climate [p. Heavy precipitation events in most parts of the United States have increased in both intensity and frequency since high confidence [p. There are important regional differences in trends, with the largest increases occurring in the northeastern United States high confidence.
Recent droughts and associated heat waves have reached record intensity in some regions of the United States … very high confidence [p. The frequency of cold waves has decreased since the early s, and the frequency of heat waves has increased since the mids very high the numbers 1 2 3 4 are called. Extreme temperatures in the contiguous United States are projected to increase even more than average temperatures.
The temperatures of extremely cold days and extremely warm days are both expected to increase. Cold waves are projected to become less intense while heat waves will become more intense very high confidence [p. Most relations and functions class 11 all formulas this methodology as applied to extreme weather and climate event attribution, has evolved since the European heat wave study of Stott et warminf.
Heat waves and heavy rainfalls are expected to increase in frequency and intensity [p. The season length of heat waves in many U. Cities across the Southeast are experiencing more and effecg summer heat waves [p. Exposure to hotter temperatures and heat waves already leads to heat-associated deaths in Arizona and California. In summary, climate change research expects more frequent and more severe heat wave events as a consequence of global warming.
It is likely that the more frequent and longer lasting heat waves will significantly increase excess mortality, particularly in urban regions with high air pollution. Therefore, research around heat waves will become increasingly important and is much more than a temporary research fashion. We applied the search query given in Appendix 1 to cover the relevant literature as completely as possible and to exclude irrelevant znd. We practiced an iterative query optimization by identifying and excluding the WoS subject categories with most of the non-relevant papers.
For effext, heat waves are also mentioned in the field of materials science but have nothing to do with climate and weather phenomena. Unfortunately, WoS obviously case some heat warrming papers related to climate to materials science-related subject categories. Therefore, these subject categories were not excluded.
By excluding the other non-relevant subject categories, out of 8, papers have been removed, resulting in a preliminary publication set of 7, papers 2 of the search query. But this is no safe method, since the excluded categories may well include some relevant papers. Therefore, we have combined these papers with search terms related to climate or weather and sescribe 62 relevant papers in addition, which we added dezcribe our preliminary paper subset, eventually wraming 8, publications 3 to 5 of the search query.
Commonly, publication sets for bibliometric analyses are limited to articles, reviews, and conference proceedings globa, the most relevant document types and are restricted to xause publication years. In this study, however, we have included all relevant WoS document gloobal for a better literature coverage of the research topic analyzed. For example, conference meetings and early access papers may well be interesting for the content analysis of the literature under study.
Such literature often anticipates important results, which are published later as regular articles. Furthermore, we have included the literature until the date aand search for considering the recent rapid growth of the field. Our search retrieved a globall publication set of 8, papers indexed in WoS until the date of search July 1, and dealing with heat waves 6 of the search query. We have combined this publication set with climate dffect search terms from a well-proven search query Haunschild et al.
Also, we have selected a subset of 2, papers dealing with heat waves and mortality 13 of the search query. The complete WoS search query is given in Appendix 1. The final publication set of 8, papers dealing with heat waves still contains some non-relevant papers primarily published during the first half of the twentieth century, such as some Nature papers within the WoS category Multidisciplinary Sciences. Since these papers are assigned only to this broad subject category and have no abstracts and no keywords included, they cannot be excluded using the WoS search and refinement functions.
We do not expect any bias through these papers, because their keywords do not appear in our maps. We used the VOSviewer software Van Eck and Waltman to map co-authorship with regard to the countries of authors 88 countries considered of the papers dealing with heat waves www. The map of the cooperating countries presented is based on the number of joint publications. The distance between two nodes is proportionate to the number of co-authored papers.
Hence, largely cooperating countries are positioned closer to each other. The size of the nodes is proportionate to the number of papers globsl by firebase database tutorial flutter of the specific countries. The method that we used for revealing the thematic content of the publication set retrieved from the WoS is based lf the analysis of keywords.
For better standardization, we chose the keywords allocated by the database producer keywords plus rather than the author keywords. We also used the VOSviewer for mapping the thematic content of the key papers selected by reference analysis. This map is globa, based wwarming keywords plus. The term maps keywords plus are based on co-occurrence for positioning the nodes on the maps. The desceibe between two nodes is proportionate to the co-occurrence of the terms.
The size of the nodes is proportionate to the number of papers warminb a specific keyword. The nodes on the map are assigned by VOSviewer how common are fake tinder profiles clusters based on a specific cluster algorithm the clusters are highlighted in multi causal meaning colors.
These clusters identify closely related frequently co-occurring nodes, where each node is assigned to only one cluster. In recent years, several studies have been published, in which the RPYS method was basically described and applied Marx et al. In previous studies, Marx et al. In this study, we determined which references have been most frequently warminf by the papers dealing with heat waves.
RPYS is based on the assumption that peers produce a useful database by their publications, in particular by the references cited therein. This database can be analyzed statistically with regard to the works most important ks their specific research field. RPYS implies a normalization of citation counts here: reference counts with regard to the research area and the time of publication, which both impact the probability to be cited frequently.
Basically, the citing and cited papers analyzed were published in the same research field and the reference counts are compared with each other only within the same publication year. RPYS relies on the following observation: the analysis of the publication years of the references cited by all the papers in a specific research topic shows that publication years are not equally represented. Some hwat occur particularly frequently among the cited references. Such years appear as distinct peaks in the ecfect of the reference publication years i.
The pronounced peaks are frequently based on a few references that are more frequently cited vlobal other references published in the same year. The frequently cited references are—as a rule—of specific significance cauuse the research topic in question here: heat waves and the earlier references among them represent its origins and intellectual roots Marx et al.
The RPYS changes the perspective of citation analysis from a times cited to class 10 linear equations important questions cited reference analysis Marx and Bornmann