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Abstract: Chemical process and automation of data collection for industrial processes are known to result in auto-correlated data. The independence of observations is a basic assumption made by traditional tools that are used for the statistical monitoring of processes. If this is not adhered to then the number of false alarms and quality costs are increased. This research considers the use of variable parameters VP charts in the presence of autocorrelation.
The objective is to determine the impact on the detection velocity and false alarms of different degrees of autocorrelation and their interaction with process conditions-the aim being to effectively select parameters. This research demonstrates the superiority of variable parameters quality monitoring architectures over traditional statistical process monitoring tools. Resumen: Procesos químicos y automatización en la recolección de datos en procesos productivos son reconocidos por producir datos autocorrelacionados.
What is the difference between variable and parameter performance of control charts with variable parameters for autocorrelated processes. Traditional tools used in the statistical monitoring of processes assume no correlation between consecutive observations of the quality characteristic being controlled. This assumption is violated if there is a set of data that shows a trend towards moving in moderately long "runs" to both sides of the mean [1] ; this is known as memory process.
Specifically, the effect of violating this assumption in traditional control charts such as the x chart will produce an increase in out of control false alarms [2]. Similarly, if the correlation is negative, it is possible that the control chart is not detecting disturbances or assignable causes different to the natural variation of the process [3]. Barr [4] demonstrated that correlation between data means that Shewhart control charts are ambiguous tools to identify assignable causes.
This means that it is necessary to invest efforts into their adjustment or to develop new monitoring alternatives. The strategies that were designed to handle autocorrelation in productive processes include five procedures: i Modifying the whats 2 base in a relationship control chart parameters, ii Adjusting time series models to use normal residuals in typical control charts, iii Applying transformations that correct the correlation in the data, iv Forming an observation vector that facilitates the application of multivariable techniques, and v Applying artificial intelligence techniques to discover patterns in the data.
The first study on what is the difference between variable and parameter procedure of varying parameters in control charts was undertaken by Reynolds, et al. The second parameter considered in the literature was the size of the samples nwhich was investigated by Prabhu, et al. Similarly, some models, such as the one proposed by Mahadik [8]include the warning limit coefficient w.
Initially, each of these variables was considered independently, and subsequently, there have been schemes in which the sampling what is the difference between variable and parameter and size of the sample change simultaneously. The concept of varying all the parameters simultaneously can be attributed to Costa [7]who used possible maximum and minimum values to adjust all the parameters based on information of the previous sample; this type of chart is currently known as an adaptive chart or a variable parameter VP chart.
The present research work aims to use simulation to evaluate the robustness of a VP chart process-control system in scenarios in which observations are autocorrelated. In order to do so, different design parameters in the control chart will be considered, including the following: control coefficients; sample size and interval; and process conditions such as the variance, autocorrelation coefficient, and run length.
VP control charts require the use of new performance indicators, given that the what is the difference between variable and parameter run length ARLwhich is the most frequently used indicator, is not adequate for adaptive charts because it has no constant sampling intervals and sample sizes. Accordingly, the following indicators were used to evaluate the statistical performance of the VP chart: the average number of observations until a signal is emitted ANOSthe average time between the point in which an average run occurs and the emission of a signal AATSand the average number of false alarms per cycle ANFA.
Including a metric what is production possibility curve explain with diagram in hindi false alarms improves the performance evaluation proposals of VP charts in environments with autocorrelated observations because the literature that has been revised only lists comparisons based on the detection velocity of an average run.
This paper follows a structure that primarily includes a presentation of the variable parameter chart model. This is followed by a historical review of the studies that are dedicated exclusively to analyzing the statistical performance of control chart models with variable parameters in environments with univariate what statement is the best description of correlation with correlations between observations.
Next, the characteristics of the autocorrelated quality variables are presented, and we describe the methodology used to evaluate the performance of VP charts with different process conditions and design parameters for the control chart in the presence of autocorrelation. When designing a VP chart, as well as a traditional x chart, parameters such as the sample size nsampling interval hand control limit and warning limit coefficients k, w must be taken into account. These parameters vary between two values, minimum and maximum, the selection of which reduces or increases the strictness of the control.
The VP chart is divided into three different regions: the central region that is bounded by the lower warning limit and the upper warning limit LAI, LAS, for their initials in Spanish ; the warning region that is bounded by the areas between the lower control limit up to the lower warning limit LCI, LAI, for their what is the difference between variable and parameter in Spanish and the upper warning limit up to the upper control limit LAS, LCS, for their initials in Spanish ; and the action region that is bounded by the values that surpass the upper control limits LCS, for its initials in Spanish and the values that are lower than lower control limit LCI see Fig.
Figure 1 Control what is the difference between variable and parameter model with variable parameters VP The authors. The decision policy states that the position in which each sample falls determines which set of control parameters relaxed or strict will be used in the following sample. Equation what are advantages and disadvantages of free market economy follows:.
On the one hand, if the point falls in the central region, control is reduced, the sample size must be small n 1and the sampling interval and control and warning coefficients must be large: h 1k1, and w 1. On the other hand, if the point falls in the warning region, control is increased, resulting in a large sample size n 2and the sampling interval and control and warning coefficients must be small: h 2k 2and w 2 see Fig. Finally, if the point falls in the action region, the possible occurrence of an assignable cause must be investigated, and if pertinent, an intervention must be initiated.
Figure 2 Control chart model with variable parameters VP The authors. To implement the VP chart, a statistical design must be used by selecting parameters that optimize the statistical properties of interest see equation 1. However, when it is preferred that the costs associated with the control process are low, without taking into account the loss of statistical characteristics of the process, we refer to this as the economical design of a control chart. When it is desirable to select parameters that balance the statistical behavior and costs of the process, we are referring to an economical-statistical design of a control chart.
Consequently, the type of design is based on what is being sought: cost reduction and high performance in detecting imbalances in the process or equilibrium between these two variables [ 910 ]. A limited number of published studies address the problem of autocorrelation in the performance of charts with variable parameters. Among the first studies is the one conducted by Reynolds, et al. This study was motivated by the assumption that the correlation between observations would be more evident in this type of chart when having shorter sampling intervals than in those with the traditional scheme.
Experimentally, a first order, autoregressive, temporal, series model AR 1 was selected to model observations; subsequently, with the help of a Markovian process, the properties of the VSI scheme were contrasted with those of the traditional scheme. As a result, as the autocorrelation levels increased, no significant differences were found between the performance of the variable scheme and those of the traditional scheme.
Prybutok, et al. In their research, they explored the impact of utilizing what is the difference between variable and parameter policy of pre-establishing control limits based on theoretical parameters that are typically determined as the three-sigma limits sx for data that follow a standard normal distribution. This was contrasted with a policy based on calculating control limits that understood the first 25 samples according to What is the eclectic approach example [13].
The limits calculated are based on the theoretical relationship between the autocorrelation process and its what is the difference between variable and parameter according to the model proposed by Wardell, et al. The use of values different from the sa values in the control charts was also considered a method of adjusting the chart to the number of false alarms detriment.
The results of the present study reveal that adjusting the control limits in a fixed sampling scheme for large values of f helps to reduce the rate of false alarms. With moderate autocorrelation levels, the pre-established process limits demonstrate a better performance, identifying when the process is out of control in contrast with the calculated limits; however, when the process is under control, the result that comes from using a predetermined scheme shows a considerable increase in the number of false alarms.
In processes with high levels of correlation between observations, the pre-established limits are more effective in maintaining a low rate of false alarms but are inefficient in detecting changes in the mean. In general, a variable sampling scheme is beneficial for statistical monitoring because it improves the average time before emitting a stoppage signal when the process is under control.
Zou, et al. In addition, these authors state that very little is known about the level of advantage offered by such a scheme, and there is still no correct way of estimating the control parameters despite the impact they have in determining the power of the charts. This study establishes the VSI chart parameters to take samples in fixed time periods, limiting the study to cases in which the same power of the original scheme was registered with independent data.
It is, therefore, possible to compare their performance with the process modeled through an AR 1 process. The results show that Most popular dating show in china charts with a fixed time and sampling rate, despite providing implementation benefits, do not show improvements in the monitoring of autocorrelated processes within the levels evaluated 0.
The results indicate that, in principle, high levels of autocorrelation require more time and samples to detect changes in the process mean. This is because it appears to become ineffective as the variable parameters increase. The CUSUM scheme, in contrast with the VP scheme, has a better detection capacity and also exhibits the lowest sampling costs for the detection of small changes. When the autocorrelation increases, this advantage becomes more important. The correlation levels considered in this study were 0.
Recently, Costa and Machado [17] developed comparisons between the detection velocities of an out-of-control, first-order, autoregressive process AR 1 whilst following a Markovian approach of a VP chart and a double sampling chart scheme. Changes in the mean between 0. The results obtained reveal that: i. With high f and variance proportion levels due to the random average y that is defined in Equation 3the use of VP schemes is not justified because the change in the temporal detection efficiency of an assignable cause in the process is marginal; ii.
The control chart with variable parameters has a better performance when the values of the small samples are used to choose the size of the next sample in the process instead of the state of the process; and iii. The double sampling scheme works better when the process never sends signals before proceeding to the second stage of sampling.
For this study, we will what is the difference between variable and parameter under the assumption that there is a correlation between the observations. In order to model it, a temporarily discretized random variable has to be considered to describe t-th element is contained in the following Equation 4. We refer to autocorrelation when the linear association between observations of the process is significant.
Autoregressive models are frequently used in the literature to represent the correlation of productive processes. Gilbert, et al. This approach is characterized by the fact that the behavior of a variable in a specific moment in time depends on the past behavior of the variable. Therefore, the value taken by the variable at time t can be written linearly with the values taken by the variable at times t-1, t-2, t-3…, t-p.
In this scheme, p in the term AR p indicates the delays taken into account to describe or determine the value of xt. If the dependency relationship is established with the p previous delays, the process will be first order autoregressive AR 1according to Equation 6. This study was conducted by simulation to compare the performance of VP charts in monitoring autocorrelated processes under different process conditions and design control chart parameters.
To develop the simulations, the methodology was organized as follows:. To simulate the autocorrelation of the process through an autoregressive model, we take into account the considerations made by Reynolds, et al. To include an AR 1 process, the expression developed in 6 is included in Equation 4resulting in:. Reynolds, et al. The autocorrelation coefficient with which we will work is positive.
This follows the recommendation by Reynolds, et al. It is noteworthy that the model of a single assignable cause with a known effect does not respond to real process conditions; linear regression correlation coefficient r2, it provides us with an acceptable and quasi-optimal approximation to carry out the economic and statistical designs in a more realistic process that is subject to multiple assignable causes [22].
Particularly, in this study, we will consider run lengths of 0. The interest of this study is to evaluate the impact of the autocorrelation coefficient on the performance of the VP chart. The objective is to offer a guide to its performance under certain combinations of chart parameters. To select the levels over which the simulation will be developed, we took into account the study performed by Lin [20].
The values and combinations of h 1h 2n 1n 2k 1and k 2 are listed in Table 1. Table 1 Parameters of the VP chart to be evaluated The authors. Selecting the initial policy to be strict or relaxed is conducted randomly to avoid the effect it might have on the detection capacity of the chart in the presence of false alarms. We take the model proposed by Lin [16] and Lin [14]which uses the average number of observations until a signal is emitted ANOS and the average adjusted time calculated from the point in which an average run occurs and a signal is emitted AATS when the process is out of control as performance metrics for variable parameter schemes.
An important contribution of this research, in contrast with the work undertaken by Lin [14] what is the difference between variable and parameter, is that the values of false alarms are not maintained constant and that they are considered a response variable of the simulations. In general, it is desirable for ANFA values to be small in order to reduce the frequency of false alarms [20].