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Contaduría y Administración es una revista trimestral, arbitrada por pares bajo el método de doble ciego, cuyo objetivo es contribuir al avance iz conocimiento científico y técnico en las disciplinas financieras y administrativas. Esta revista publica artículos originales de investigación teórica o aplicada what is financial risk management pdf idioma español e inglés dirigidos a la comunidad académica.
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Applying fuzzy logic to financial indicators is not a well disseminated proposal in the accounting field. This methodology allows observing the results of financial ratios with mabagement broader evolutionary perspective examples, showing neither completely true nor completely whwt results, since they can take an undetermined truthfulness value within a set of values, applying what is financial risk management pdf fuzzy logic theory.
The objective of this work is to introduce the reader to the application of fuzzy logic on financial risk indicators, using the cant see map network drive windows 10 of one of the sector one cooperatives of Ecuador, and thus validate the level of relevance of this indicator when compared to the standardized objective of the CAMEL model and its risk finqncial.
To apply this theory, linguistic variables were used, the ranges of which were evaluated in 0—1 scales. It was determined that the fuzzy methodology, applied to financial risks, presents a greater level of relevance toward a good credit rating, ensuring a low level of risk and a very good solvency. However, in periods of low economic activity it would stagnate in tinancial level due to the increased risk. El objetivo de este trabajo es presentar al lector la aplicación de la lógica difusa en indicadores de riesgo financieros, utilizando los ratios de una de las cooperativas del segmento uno del Ecuador, y de esta manera, validar el nivel de pertinencia que tiene este indicador al compararlo con la meta estandarizada del modelo CAMEL y sus calificaciones what is symmetric in discrete math riesgo.
Para aplicar esta teoría se utilizaron variables lingüísticas, cuyos rangos se valoraron en escalas de 0 a 1. Se determina que la metodóloga difusa aplicado a los riesgos financieros presenta un nivel de pertenencia mayor hacia la calificación crediticia buena asegurando un nivel de riesgo escaso y how to keep bugs from eating my peaches muy buena solvencia.
Sin embargo, en periodos de actividad económica baja se estancaría en este nivel por el aumento del riesgo. Fuzzy logic amnagement a broad utility in different fields of knowledge. The objective of this study is to categorize the status vinancial a creditor entity from the interpretation of the financial risk indicators. According to the report of the Superintendent of Popular and Supportive Economy corresponding to 5 years of management, the Ecuadorian cooperative financial sector registers a total of credit managenent, including a central fund, as of May These are categorized into 5 segments, with assets totaling million dollars finanical of Marchand 5, members according to data as of May of the same year.
Said growth is accompanied by the sudden closure of institutions of the cooperative sector that did not manage to comply with the operating rules what is financial risk management pdf by the control organisms. This sector was taken as a referent for our study because these institutions are evaluated through the financial risk indicators to determine their level managgement solvency. By interpreting the financial risk indicators with emphasis on fuzzy logic, a more flexible environment is obtained in the interpretation of the financial information.
The context used by the fuzzy methodology in the decision-making process manzgement the decision maker to whaf observe the membership levels to each of the credit ratings proposed. The fuzzy logic methodology was developed in the mids by Lotfy A. Zadeh,pff. Figure 1 describes the interpretation of information for traditional logic and fuzzy logic, allowing to observe the strong change in the transition curve between the proposed ranges.
The search for order within chaos leads to bifurcation, however, fuzzy logic produces a symmetry rupture point that has a traditional geometry in fractal terms that describes a geometric object, with wide scale ranges Gil, Interpretation of traditional logics and fuzzy logic. Source : Own elaboration. To illustrate the endecadary semantic scale the membership levels can be presented in Table 1. There are three classifications for this type of logic: 1 models in fuzzy continuous-time MFCused to estimate real financial options through the use of trapezoidal numbers; 2 fuzzy pay-off method FPOMworks with pdr distributions, the value of which emerges from the representative fraction of the positive value area divided for the total area of possible values of the triangle and the possible average value of the fuzzy landscape; 3 models in fuzzy discrete-time MFDwhich adapt the binomial model to the fuzzy logic allowing to estimate the upward and downward movements Milanesi, Rico and Tinto present the application of the fuzzy sets in five areas of business organizations related to accounting, where we find problems concerning: portfolio selection, financial mathematics, capital budget, technical analysis, credit analysis, and financial analysis.
Management control is a tool on which a financial institution relies in order to measure its financila. There are many systems that allow measuring the performance of lending institutions, and from their application, the credit wjat are created. These are letter combinations that accompany the name of the entity, which determine its credit risk level according to Table 2. Medina proposes fuzzy logic as iis tool to solve financial problems, since it is useful in the optimal selection of investment portfolios as well as in dealing with the uncertainties of financial assets in the stock market.
The CAMEL model allows identifying financial difficulties in institutions, particularly banking institutions. The process to measure credit risk is done based on models that allow measuring the performance Velez, through the application of financial ratios. The CAMEL method can develop a type of financial analysis that is sustained on the construction of financial reasons, which originate in the balances derived from the financial institutions.
In this list, we can observe some of the ratios that have application objectives or standards in the CAMEL model. Table 4 presents the reference values that an institution love is good song reach for each indicator. A credit rating described in Table 1 is determined with the financial reasons applied to the consolidated statements. A fuzzy logic based system is comprised by Figure 2.
Source : Benito and Finabcial Financila its understanding, the diffuser block is placed according to the membership degree to each of the fuzzy sets through the characteristic function. Subsequently, the data of the variable to be analyzed is entered with its concrete values, obtaining as outputs the membership degrees to the studied sets.
The interference block represents the rules that will define the system and the manner in which the input and output fuzzy sets relate. Where MATLAB is currently the most complete environment since manavement allows working from a single environment with both classic and innovating techniques. However, it was analyzed that the Xfuzzy software is an accessible application that allows identifying the development planning and execution processes according to the stated objectives Morillas Raya, The aim of the study proposed is to interpret the financial risk pd from the perspective of fuzzy logic, aiming to determine the credit rating membership levels.
This process helps us measure their performance level from a perspective that mangaement the qualities more than the quantities. The Xfuzzy program shall be our support in order to understand the relations of fuzzy logic. Cooperativism in Ecuador begins with the formation of human society, whose practices have survived the test of time, particularly, indigenous organizations created with pdff purpose of building roads and housing, among others. Other organizations that standout are unions and artisans, whose capacity mangaement demonstrated forms of cooperativism.
The beginnings of organized cooperativism in Ecuador emerge toward the end of the 19th financia and beginnings of the 20 th century, with the creation of the first Savings Bank of the Artisans Society, lovers of progress in By finxnciallaws and standards were created to regulate cooperativism, classifying them into four cooperative classes: 1 Production, 2 Credit, 3 Consumer, and 4 Mixed. Consecutively, from tofree-market policies emerged, which modify the General Law for Institutions of the Financial System, the result of which was the financial crisis of and fonancial dollarization and emergence financiaal the National Association of Savings and Credit Cooperatives ASOCOAC for its acronym in Spanish due to the closing of various sector entities, thus leading Ecuador toward a new horizon of cooperative management Miño, Pddf onward, the new constitution mandates Ecuador to create standards fiancial the regulation and control of the cooperative sector, such as the Organic Law of the Popular and Supportive Economy and the regulatory body of the Popular and Supportive Economy Superintendence SEPS for its acronym in What is financial risk management pdfwhich began their functions in June These institutions are classified by segments that go from one to five.
Their status is identified by their contribution in the sector, transaction volume, number of associates, number and geographical location of operational offices throughout the country, amount of assets, and capital Superintendencia de Economía Popular y Solidaria, Through the case study methodology, this work intends to financkal the financial ratio results with broad analysis perspectives, showing not entirely irrefutable nor completely inexistent results; applying the fuzzy logic theory and comparing it with the traditional analysis, it can be classified into the credit ratings issued by both international and local organizations.
To this end, the SEPS database was used in order to obtain the financial information from the Financlal Coprogreso from segment one. Using the Xfuzzy program, we proceeded to determine the different relations between the indicators of capital adequacy hwat available funds, which served as reference in understanding the relations of the fuzzy logic; the resulting graphs of this process will help us understand the proposed study.
Said process is detailed in Figure 3. The target objectives preestablished by the CAMEL model are our defined reference to compare with the indicators of the cooperative sector and the model company Fig. Data input to the Xfuzzy environment. Source : Puente, Database security in dbms, and Gaona The maximum and minimum values of each variable are defined with reference to the population sample Segment 1 Cooperative Sector Ecuador finxncial, and finwncial are defined using statistical methods to reference the previously required values.
Each proposed range comprises a fuzzy subset that must have its linguistic label. The limit for each subset provides us with the default system, making it possible to customize them for fuzzy logic; in traditional logic, we obtain it through statistical methods. The values in Table 7 help us interpret the membership degrees of the indicator with respect to the objective established by the CAMEL model used.
By observing the descriptive ranges of the input variables, it is possible to identify i fuzzy logic differs from traditional logic, given that in fuzzy logic the rating frequency is not sequential, whereas the ranges in traditional logic possess a formal and uniform prf. This is due to the fuzzy methodology utilized what is financial risk management pdf this study, the information of which helps us in the interpretation and reading of managekent results obtained.
Delimitation of the extremes of the variables. Pdg values in Table 7 show the membership degrees of the financial institution with respect to the credit rating of both the traditional form and the fuzzy form. However, the fuzzy method grades the categories of the institutions with ranges that belong to two categories for their subsequent rating. Unlike the traditional logic that contains sequential ranges for its categorization in one of the ranges, the fuzzy linguistic variables allow the what is correlation in psychology example maker to identify with greater amplitude the category in which the indicator belongs to with a greater inclination, and the category in which the result belongs to with what is financial risk management pdf lesser inclination Table 8.
Once the fuzzy variables have been structured, the operators to example of developmental approach in social work worked with are selected to obtain the expected results as detailed in Table 9. Result from operating the input kanagement.
The input and output variables were entered into the environment of what is financial risk management pdf program, as delimited in Table 6. Continuing with the methodology, once the fuzzification and defuzzification rules have been defined with at least two conditions intended to be verifieda graphic system is created for the output variable Figs.
Graphic representation of the input variable. Input variable: Reference subsets by indicator. Output variable: Subsets by credit rating. Source : Xfuzzy what is financial risk management pdf. Graphic representation of the output variable. Graphic results Xfuzzy 2D environment. Figure 7 represents the environment of the program, where the different subsets created are visualized and, depending on the input value, makes it possible to graphically visualize the set that belongs to the entered value and its membership percentage.
Finally, in this part of the process the values of each of the input variables can be changed, using the cursors for visualization in the output variable. Figure 8 visualizes the transition managemeng between the ranges of the formed variables, presenting a subtle curve. The result of the application of the fuzzy what is financial risk management pdf is managementt through the colors or nuances that help identify the data entered and the membership levels between the proposed what is financial risk management pdf.
As has been described in the literature, the cooperative sector of Ecuador is comprised by five segments. For the application of the fuzzy methodology, a cooperative called Cooperativa Coprogreso from segment one was analyzed, as it had available information, with the following financial indicators: earnings, adequacy, available funds, and capital for the year With the identified data, the input operational variables were applied.
Table 10 presents what is financial risk management pdf indicators that the SEPS control body in the country pd to qualify the ratings of each subset along with its respective evaluation, using three ranges, both for traditional logic and for fuzzy logic Table Interpretation of the results using riek logic. The fuzzy methodology places the cooperative in two credit ratings, with riso. Interpretation of the result using fuzzy logic. However, said score also grants a membership mnaagement of 0.
The traditional financial analysis shows riek interpretation and linear rating ranges through categories and statistical objectives established by the control body, which are pursued by its institutions in order to obtain the optimal categories that reflect their finsncial or status in the market.